BEGIN:VCALENDAR
VERSION:2.0
CALSCALE:GREGORIAN
PRODID:UW-Madison-Physics-Events
BEGIN:VEVENT
SEQUENCE:0
UID:UW-Physics-Event-4266
DTSTART:20160927T170500Z
DTEND:20160927T180000Z
DTSTAMP:20260419T075951Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20160829T135404Z
LOCATION:4274 Chamberlin Hall (refreshments will be served)
SUMMARY:Forecasting change in U.S. breeding bird distributions\, Chaos
  & Complex Systems Seminar\, Brooke Bateman\, UW Department of Forest 
 and Wildlife Ecology
DESCRIPTION:Species are already coping with climate change by shifting
  their distributions. The rate at which these shifts are occurring is\
 , however\, much faster than faced by species in the past. In an uncer
 tain future\, we must be able to recognize and forecast how species di
 stributions have and will continue to change. We used the species dist
 ribution modeling algorithm Maxent\, occurrences\, and annual climate 
 and extreme weather covariates to predict breeding bird distributions 
 for nearly 400 breeding bird species in the U.S. from 1950 through 210
 0\, using 19 GCMs and two rcp scenarios. I will highlight how breeding
  distributions\, in relation to annual climate and extreme weather cov
 ariates\, have changed over the recent past and what change is forecas
 ted for the future. Given the broad scale nature of climate change and
  widespread modification of the landscape with agriculture and develop
 ment\, we will need to coordinate and implement efforts at broad spati
 al scales and across many species.<br>
\n
URL:https://www.physics.wisc.edu/events/?id=4266
END:VEVENT
END:VCALENDAR